This is my prediction for the US Presidential election. I think Trump has a lead on average, as the polls have always been skewed Democratic. A tied race in the polls means a Trump lead in reality.

However, I think the hurricane will have a massive impact on the races in NC and Georgia, which coincidentally are the key states to win. It hit the most strongly Republican parts of both states and I think it will cut turnout in those areas.

Based on my prediction, Trump has to win both of those states to win overall. Harris can win only a single one of those and still win overall.

Also, forget Pennsylvania, NC will be the key state.

If you forced me to guess, I’d say Georgia will go to Trump and NC will be a complete coin flip.